Twitter, a prediction tool for Europe’s first social media-based hedge fund

Twitter, a prediction tool for Europe’s first social media-based hedge fund

Traders have used an awareness of the population’s collective emotions to predict price movements for years.

However, experts found that the instant nature of Twitter meant that those emotions could be gauged more accurately.

Previously, it had been thought that a drop in the markets led to more negative feelings but it proved to be the other way around.

Analysts at Derwent Capital Markets in Mayfair, central London, have launched a £25m fund that makes its investments by evaluating whether people are generally happy, sad, anxious or tired, because they believe it will predict whether the market will move up or down.

The program was originally designed by Johan Bollen, professor of informatics and computing at Indiana University. Telegraph

via PSFK